Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-104/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Tim Hardaway Jr. slots into the 82nd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc when playing on the road, tallying 5.2 per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted a lowly 8.6 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit less than his 11.1 mark last season.
As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been bad at getting to the free-throw line away from their home court: 9th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a measly 20.7 free throw attempts per game.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Pelicans, making it tough to draw fouls.
Tim Hardaway Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production for all stats.

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