Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2025

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 1, 2025

Updated Mar 2, 2025 3:29 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tim Hardaway Jr. has successfully made 2.1 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Brooklyn Nets is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.2).
The showdown with Keon Johnson rates in the 93rd percentile with the other side's starting SGs draining a monstrous 38.6% of their shots from behind the three-point arc this year.
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 4th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Pistons will likely see a decline in plays in this game from being pitted against the slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Brooklyn Nets).
As a team, the Pistons have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 8th-worst in the NBA this year with just 21.0 foul shot attempts per game.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 0.4 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Nets, struggling to draw fouls.

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