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Tim Hardaway Jr.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2025

Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. has logged 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.0 higher than he's logged in all games this season at home.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. has successfully made 4.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year when playing at home.
  • The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).
  • The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to more possessions for the Detroit Pistons.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Detroit Pistons have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year.
  • The matchup vs. Spencer Dinwiddie is a challenging one for scoring; when defending other starting SGs this year, they have converted just 42.1% of their shots from the field (20th percentile).
  • Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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