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Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the league, Tim Hardaway Jr. registers in the 80th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, averaging 5.4 per game this year.This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 2.6 3-pointers per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, labeling this as a favorable matchup.The 7th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 8th-best in in the NBA at home with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.Tim Hardaway Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player performance in all stat categories.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Tim Hardaway Jr. has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.8 more than he's been called for over the course of the year at home.The Detroit Pistons have been the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Pistons.Tim Hardaway Jr. has failed to convert 1.0 foul shot attempts per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.5 higher than he's missed in all games this year while playing at home.Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
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