Tim Hardaway Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 6.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Lakers, branding this as a good matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Pistons are expected to see a rise in possessions today from facing the 9th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 6th-best in in the league away from home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Pistons's subpar 19.0 free throw attempts per game as the visting team comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Lakers, struggling to get to the foul line.
Tim Hardaway Jr. should experience a decrease in performance for all stats considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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