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Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).The 10th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.5 offensive boards per game this year.Tim Hardaway Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.3% more than he's sunk overall this year.Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. ranks in the 78th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for off the mark three-point shots, registering a whopping 3.4 per game this year.With respect to scoring, the Detroit Pistons's poor 109.2 points per game on their home court rates 6th-fewest in the league this year.The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.
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