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Tim Hardaway Jr.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Compared to last season's 7.8 rate, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shot attempts from downtown have jumped this season to 9.1 per game.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. has been called for a measly 0.7 personal fouls per game this year, significantly less than his 1.7 fouls per game last year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have averaged 31.1% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a tough matchup.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • While playing away from home, the Pelicans have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (18.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team has attempted a massive 25.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (9th-most in the NBA).
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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