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Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-102/-120).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Compared to his full-season rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) points per home game, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s point-scoring has spiked by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 5 games at home.Tim Hardaway Jr. has sunk a whopping 3.0 three-pointers per game this year, significantly higher than his 2.4 mark last year.Tim Hardaway Jr. has tallied 29.9 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the home team.The matchup vs. the Spurs is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have averaged the 5th-fewest three attempts per game in the league this year (32.3).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Relative to his full-year clip of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) fouls per [AWAY_ROAD] game, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s rate of personal fouls has surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) per game over the last 5 games [AS_A_VISITING_PLAYER].Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the league on their home court with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game this year.This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have snagged 11.2 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (preserving possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).Tim Hardaway Jr. figures to experience a decrease in performance across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.
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