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Tim Hardaway Jr.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Tim Hardaway Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -146.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tim Hardaway Jr. has sunk 45.7% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 9.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 7.8 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.

Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 29.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 79th percentile.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

The matchup against Miami is a strong one for threes; when the Heat are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.4).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tim Hardaway Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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