Tim Hardaway Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2023

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat · Jan 20, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+116/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 9.0 treys per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
Tim Hardaway Jr. has sunk 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from three over the course of the year while at home.
Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 36.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to their opposition this year (which can also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one for threes; opposing squads have totaled the 4th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (13.3).
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.

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