Tim Hardaway Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Tim Hardaway Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Tim Hardaway Jr.

G-F · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Tim Hardaway Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -210 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -220.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have captured 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Tim Hardaway Jr. ranks in the 75th percentile for technical fouls, totaling a colossal 0.0 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Tim Hardaway Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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