Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:54 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
Terry Rozier will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has attempted a measly 10.8 shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 16.4 rate last year.
Compared to last season's 6.7 mark, Terry Rozier's three-point attempts have diminished this season to 5.1 per game.
Relative to last year's 33.5 mark, Terry Rozier's playing time has tailed off this year to 27.7 minutes per game.
The most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 7th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

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