Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2025

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards · Mar 3, 2025

Updated Mar 4, 2025 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have logged 16.9 points per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Wizards, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive productivity.
The matchup vs. Washington may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Wizards are the visiting team (8th-most in the league).
Terry Rozier figures to get a boost in productivity in all stat categories in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has attempted a mere 10.7 field goals per game this season, quite a bit less than his 16.4 rate last season.
Terry Rozier has attempted a mere 5.0 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 6.7 mark last year.
Terry Rozier has averaged a lowly 27.3 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 33.5 minutes per game last season.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to reduce possessions for the Miami Heat.

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