Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2025

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Feb 21, 2025

Updated Feb 22, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has converted 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's converted overall this year while on the road.
The Heat check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of treys.

Favors Under

The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to decreased plays for the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Terry Rozier has converted a lowly 1.6 free throws per game this season, quite a bit less than his 2.8 rate last season.
Terry Rozier will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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