Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 24, 2025 1:20 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from home over the last 5 games has been the Heat.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the 5th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bucks).
Terry Rozier has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 2.4 clip, Terry Rozier's three-point shots drained have regressed this year to 1.5 per game.
The Miami Heat have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Terry Rozier will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production across the board.

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