Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2025

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat · Jan 7, 2025

Updated Jan 8, 2025 2:55 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-152/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has converted 5.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season when playing on the road.
In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 10th-highest in the league this year.
The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 8th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Warriors).
Terry Rozier has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's converted in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the Warriors may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.3 free throws per game over the last 5 games (6th-most in the league).

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 38.4% on shot attempts from the field (2nd-worst in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Terry Rozier will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lower player production across the board.

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