Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Dec 16, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 11:49 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of offense, the Heat's superb 116.0 points per game settles in as the 10th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pistons have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Heat.
Terry Rozier has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.7% more than he's converted overall this year.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 6.7 rate, Terry Rozier's shot attempts from downtown have tailed off this year to 5.4 per game.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Terry Rozier is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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