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Terry Rozier

Terry Rozier Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 32.3 minutes per game this year.
  • This year, the opposition's starting SGs have put up 19.0 points per game (highest in the NBA) against the Pacers, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive productivity.
  • The Pacers have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Heat.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 6th-best in in the league away from home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games.
  • The matchup vs. Indiana is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 5.3 foul shots per game this year when the Pacers are at home (most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Terry Rozier has attempted and missed 7.0 shot attempts from the field per game when playing away from home this year, placing him among the worst players in the NBA by this standard: 79th percentile for misses on the road.
  • The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
  • Terry Rozier has made just 2.0 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 2.8 mark last year.
  • Terry Rozier will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player production across the board.

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