Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat · Nov 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has sunk 2.3 three-point shots per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Terry Rozier has been on the court for 32.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat grade out 3rd-best in the league while playing on the road with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against Minnesota may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are playing at home (6th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has attempted just 12.4 field goals per game this season, quite a bit less than his 16.4 mark last season.
As it relates to offense, the Miami Heat's feeble 44.8% field goal rate rates 6th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Minnesota is a challenging one for threes; when the Minnesota Timberwolves have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have totaled the least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.3).
The 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
Terry Rozier will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player performance across the board.

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