Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Nov 8, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 10:41 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier ranks in the 90th percentile for shots from the field, registering 15.9 per game since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier places in the 92nd percentile for three-point attempts, registering 6.8 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 33.3 minutes per game since the start of last season.
With respect to three-point attempts, the 9th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.
The matchup against Denver is a good one; when the Nuggets are on their home court, they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Terry Rozier will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.

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