Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 10/28/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons · Oct 28, 2024

Updated Oct 29, 2024 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier measures in the 87th percentile for three-point attempts at home, compiling 6.2 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 31.7 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season.
The Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Heat.
Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier registers in the 93rd percentile for foul-shot ability with a remarkable 89.1% rate since the start of last season.
The matchup against the Pistons may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 27.6% on threes (2nd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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