Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 10:42 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has made 4.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season.
Terry Rozier has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The Heat will likely see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).
Terry Rozier has converted a whopping 88.6% of his foul shot attempts this year, a big improvement over his 80.9 rate last year.

Favors Under

The most sluggish tempo road offense in the league this year has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league as the visting team with only 8.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Terry Rozier figures to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats on account of playing away from home in this game.

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