Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 9:36 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has sunk 5.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year.
Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.7 minutes per game this year.
The Pacers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Heat.
Terry Rozier has successfully made a terrific 88.6% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly higher than his 80.9 rate last season.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league while playing away from home this year.
The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league).
Terry Rozier stands to experience a decrease in production across the board in light of being on the road in this game.

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