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Terry Rozier

Terry Rozier Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2024

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.6 minutes per game on his home court this year.

In regard to 3-pointers, the Heat's superb 38.3% rate of converted threes on their home court measures as the 6th-best in the league this year.

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 39.9% on 3-pointers (7th-best in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, making this a favorable matchup.

Terry Rozier has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 11.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the 76ers are the visiting squad (8th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last season's 18.9 rate, Terry Rozier's shots have declined this season to 16.6 per game.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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