Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has played 31.7 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on their home court this year.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 6.5 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.
Terry Rozier will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 18.9 clip, Terry Rozier's shots from the field have tailed off this year to 16.6 per game.
In comparison to last year's 8.0 rate, Terry Rozier's three-point attempts have tailed off this year to 6.6 per game.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a hard one for threes; the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 3rd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (29.8%).
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year.
The Miami Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

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