Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 3/26/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 26, 2024

Updated Mar 26, 2024 11:38 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 31.6 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team this year.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a favorable one; when the Golden State Warriors are on the road, they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (24.4).
The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace away offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Golden State Warriors).
Terry Rozier has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 11.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 8.0 mark, Terry Rozier's shot attempts from beyond the arc have dropped this year to 6.6 per game.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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