Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 3/24/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 24, 2024

Updated Mar 25, 2024 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 31.6 minutes per game at home this year.
When it comes to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's outstanding 38.0% rate of drained threes while at home places 7th-highest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a positive one for threes; the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (41.4%).
Terry Rozier has made 88.3% of his foul shots this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Terry Rozier ought to get a boost in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 8.0 rate, Terry Rozier's shot attempts from beyond the arc have decreased this season to 6.6 per game.
The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting PGs vs. Darius Garland has been quite low this year (2.8 free throws per game: 7th percentile).

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