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Terry Rozier

Terry Rozier Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2024

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 31.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

In regard to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's impressive 38.3% rate of made threes while on their home court ranks 6th-strongest in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Pelicans is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.1).

This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.1 foul shots per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Terry Rozier is expected to see a spike in productivity in all facets of the game considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Terry Rozier has attempted a mere 16.6 shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 18.9 mark last year.

In comparison to last season's 8.0 clip, Terry Rozier's 3-point attempts have dropped this season to 6.6 per game.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

The Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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