Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Mar 18, 2024

Updated Mar 18, 2024 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier slots into the 91st percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, compiling 6.6 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.0 minutes per game this year.
The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the 76ers is a good one for threes; opposing starting PGs have compiled the 9th-highest three rate in the league this year (37.7%).
Terry Rozier has attempted 3.6 free throws per game this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has attempted just 16.5 field goals per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 18.9 mark last season.
The slowest pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
The Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 0.8 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the 76ers, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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