Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier ranks in the 92nd percentile for shots from the field, logging 16.5 per game this year.
Terry Rozier has attempted 6.6 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.
Terry Rozier has played 34.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have registered 21.2 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

The 2nd-slowest pace road offense in the league this year has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 3rdworst in in the league when playing on the road with a mere 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Terry Rozier stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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