Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Mar 15, 2024

Updated Mar 15, 2024 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has attempted 6.6 treys per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier rates in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 34.0 minutes per game this year.
The Heat are expected to see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).
Terry Rozier has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
As a team, the Miami Heat have been among the best at drawing fouls of late: 5th-best in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage with 23.1 foul shot attempts per game.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pistons is a hard one for field goals; the opposition's starting PGs have put up the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (41.4%).
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Terry Rozier stands to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this contest.

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