Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-109/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has averaged 31.4 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
When it comes to 3-point shots, the Miami Heat's terrific 38.8% rate of converted threes while playing at home comes in as the 4th-best in the league this year.
Terry Rozier will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has attempted just 16.6 field goals per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 18.9 rate last year.
Terry Rozier has attempted a measly 6.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 8.0 mark last year.
The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Nuggets are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Miami Heat.

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