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Terry Rozier

Terry Rozier Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

As it relates to threes, the Miami Heat's stellar 39.1% rate of converted threes as the home team comes in as the 3rd-most in the league this year.

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 15.5 shot attempts per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

The Heat are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the fastest pace team in the league this year (the Wizards).

The matchup vs. the Washington Wizards is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 4.0 free throws per game this year (10th-most in the NBA).

Terry Rozier is expected to see a spike in efficiency across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last season's 18.9 mark, Terry Rozier's shots from the field have declined this season to 16.6 per game.

Compared to last season's 8.0 rate, Terry Rozier's shot attempts from beyond the arc have decreased this season to 6.8 per game.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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