Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat · Mar 8, 2024

Updated Mar 9, 2024 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has converted 41.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 10.3% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.
Terry Rozier has played 34.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
In terms of three-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 41.4% rate of drained threes when playing away from home comes in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 7.7 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) against the Thunder, making this a good matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the Heat.

Favors Under

The least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Terry Rozier will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this game.

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