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Terry Rozier

Terry Rozier Points
Player Prop - 2/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier places in the 94th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, registering 6.9 per game this year.

Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.0 minutes per game this year.

In regard to threes, the Miami Heat's remarkable 42.9% rate of successful threes ranks 3rd-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

Terry Rozier has made 95.8% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 8.3% more than he's converted overall this year.

The matchup vs. Denver may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (28th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Denver is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 14th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (20.5%).

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games as the away team.

The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Denver Nuggets have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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