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Terry Rozier

Terry Rozier Points
Player Prop - 2/11/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Terry Rozier has attempted and missed 9.5 shot attempts from the field per game this season, significantly less than his 11.0 rate last season.
  • Terry Rozier has attempted and missed 4.6 attempts from beyond the arc per game this year, significantly lower than his 5.4 rate last year.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 31.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
  • This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 3.0 threes per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, resulting in a strong matchup.
  • The Celtics have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Miami Heat.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 3rd-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Heat.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
  • Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have come down with 13.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (preserving possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense).
  • The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 2.3 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

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