Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has attempted 18.6 shots from the field per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier registers in the 99th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 36.2 minutes per game this year.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Charlotte Hornets are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from facing the 10th-speediest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat).
The Hornets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has attempted 6.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 7.8 rate last season.
The Hornets have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The matchup against Miami is a hard one for scoring; when the Heat are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 11th-least baskets per game in the NBA this year (5.6).
The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.4 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

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