Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier measures in the 92nd percentile for shots while at home, averaging 16.5 per game this year.
Terry Rozier has attempted 7.8 three-pointers per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier rates in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 34.3 minutes per game while at home this year.
The Hornets have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 7thbest in in the league playing at home with 11.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Hornets have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a hard one for field goals; when the Brooklyn Nets have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 15th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (35.5%).
The Hornets are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nets).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) vs. the Nets (lengthening possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).
This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Nets, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.