Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

New York Knicks vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has attempted 18.7 field goals per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.
Terry Rozier has attempted 7.8 shots from downtown per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.5 minutes per game at home since the start of last season.
The Hornets have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league at home this year.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the league while on the road this year has been the Charlotte Hornets.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 1.0 3-pointers per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Knicks, resulting in a difficult matchup.
The Charlotte Hornets will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic pace visiting team in the league this year (the Knicks).
The matchup against New York is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 3.1 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Knicks are playing at home (13th-least in the league).
Terry Rozier will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player production across the board.