Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 10:52 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier rates in the 96th percentile for shots taken away from home, logging 18.9 per game since the start of last season.
Terry Rozier has attempted 7.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Terry Rozier has averaged 34.6 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The matchup against the Pacers is a positive one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs since the start of last season (20.3).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the NBA playing at home since the start of last season.

Favors Under

When it comes to shooting, the Charlotte Hornets's feeble 111.1 points per game at home measures as the 5th-weakest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Pacers have given up the most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the league to opposing squads since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Terry Rozier will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens player production across the board.

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