Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has attempted 8.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
Terry Rozier has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Pacers is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 30th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (45.7%).
The Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (91st percentile).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.
Away from their home court, the Pacers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Charlotte Hornets have been poor at getting to the foul line recently: 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage with a mere 17.4 free throws per game.
The matchup vs. Indiana may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 20 games when the Pacers are on the road (13th-least in the league).