Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 3:43 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has attempted 8.1 threes per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Terry Rozier has tallied 33.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Pistons have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (91st percentile).
The matchup against Detroit is a difficult one; when the Pistons are the visiting team, they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs over the last 20 games (14.2).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.
As a team, the Charlotte Hornets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line recently: 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home, drawing a mere 17.4 foul shots per game.