Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2023

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has converted 41.1% of his treys over the last 5 games at home, 9.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season while playing at home.
Terry Rozier has averaged 35.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has missed 11.3 shot attempts from the field per game this season, a significant increase from his 9.0 rate last season.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a challenging one; he has allowed a measly 13.5 points per game when guarding fellow starting SGs this year (3rd percentile).
The matchup against Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when facing fellow starting SGs this year, they have attempted a measly 1.9 foul shots per game (3rd percentile).

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