Terry Rozier Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Boston Celtics vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has attempted 8.2 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Terry Rozier has averaged 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The matchup against Sam Hauser is a favorable one for shots from the field; when defending opposing starting SGs this year, they have attempted a colossal 15.5 shots made from the field per game (100th percentile).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has shot and missed 11.3 field goal attempts per game this year, significantly more than his 9.0 rate last year.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.
The Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Hornets.
Terry Rozier will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player performance for all stats.

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