Terry Rozier Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has attempted 4.9 shots from downtown per game away from home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

Favors Under

Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SGs have averaged 4.7 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, creating a hard matchup.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 21 games when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.2 offensive boards per game (30th-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings (lengthening possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).
Terry Rozier should suffer a drop-off in output for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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