Terry Rozier Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2025

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat · Jan 11, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2025 2:44 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+116/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has totaled 2.7 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the NBA by this standard over this stretch: 75th percentile.

Favors Under

The 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat.
The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Terry Rozier will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease stat production in all stat categories.

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