Terry Rozier Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has tallied 2.6 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the league in this category over this stretch of games: 75th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 21 games when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.2 offensive boards per game (30th-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings (lengthening possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).
Terry Rozier should suffer a drop-off in output for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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