Terry Rozier Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has compiled 2.9 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's hottest by this standard over this stretch of games: 77th percentile.
The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from facing the quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Hawks).

Favors Under

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Terry Rozier will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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