Terry Rozier Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 20, 2024

Updated Dec 21, 2024 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has averaged 3.0 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the league's best by this standard recently: 78th percentile.
Terry Rozier will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has been on the court for a measly 28.7 minutes per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 33.5 minutes per game last year.
The least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 10thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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