Terry Rozier Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Terry Rozier

NBA · Player Props

Terry Rozier

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 12, 2024 11:49 PM EST

Analysis

Terry Rozier Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Terry Rozier has averaged 32.4 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out 4th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Terry Rozier has tallied a measly 4.0 assists per game this year, quite a bit less than his 5.6 assists per game last year.
The Heat have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league this year.
Terry Rozier will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player production for all stats.

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